Markets & Sports Fact-Checker
Marcus Chen
San Francisco, CA
Marcus is a 27-year-old full-time crypto trader based in San Francisco, where he trades derivatives and perps for a living. He writes about prediction markets on the side as he learns the space, covering liquidity for sports, macro, and crypto-funded contracts, and fact-checking our politics and finance coverage. Off the clock he's at a Warriors game or hiking with his dog Mochi.
Articles fact-checked by Marcus Chen
- NBA 2026-27 Season: Lakers, Warriors, Clippers and Kings Prediction Markets
Sports · 9 min read
- NFL 2026 Prediction Markets: Rams, Chargers and 49ers Through Week 2
Sports · 9 min read
- How Prediction Markets Price Celebrity Longshots: The Spencer Pratt Case Study
Politics · 7 min read
- 2026 NBA Finals: A California Fan's Prediction Market Playbook
Sports · 9 min read
- Dodgers 2026: Trading the World Series Run from California
Sports · 9 min read
- Fed June 2026 Meeting: Trading the FOMC on Prediction Markets
Macro · 8 min read
- California Wildfire Season 2026: Climate Markets for CA Residents
Climate · 8 min read
- Stanley Cup 2026: A California Hockey Fan's Trading Guide
Sports · 8 min read
- Rams and Chargers 2026: Trading NFL Win Totals from California
Sports · 8 min read
- California Rainfall Winter 2026-27: Climate Markets for the Wet Season
Climate · 8 min read
- Lakers 2026 NBA Playoffs: How to Trade the Run on Prediction Markets
Guide · 9 min read
- Prediction Markets Calendar: May: July 2026
Calendar · 10 min read
- World Cup 2026 Prediction Markets: A California Fan's Guide
Guide · 10 min read
- The best prediction market platforms for Lakers fans
Sports · 9 min read
- Super Bowl prediction markets: a Californian's guide
Sports · 7 min read
- Prediction Market Taxes in California: 2026 Guide
Guide · 8 min read
- Kalshi vs Polymarket Fees: Full 2026 Cost Breakdown
Guide · 7 min read
- Can I Use Polymarket in California? How to Deposit (2026)
Guide · 6 min read
- How to Withdraw from Kalshi: 2026 Step-by-Step Guide
Guide · 5 min read
- 2028 Presidential Election Prediction Markets: PredictIt, Kalshi, Polymarket Guide
Politics · 8 min read
- Senate Control 2026 Prediction Markets: The California Read
Politics · 7 min read
- CPI Inflation Prediction Markets: Trading the Monthly Print
Macro · 6 min read
- Arbitrage Between Kalshi and Polymarket: A Realistic Guide
Guide · 7 min read
- NFL Sunday Prediction Markets: California Fan's Full Guide
Sports · 8 min read
- The Feds Are Suing 4 States Over Prediction Markets. Here's Why California Isn't One
Politics · 8 min read
- NBA Conference Semifinals 2026: Where to Trade Thunder-Lakers and the Rest of the Bracket
Sports · 9 min read
- Fed May 2026 FOMC Meeting: How to Trade the Most-Watched Macro Event of the Quarter
Macro · 9 min read
- SoFi Stadium World Cup 2026: 8 LA Matches and the Markets Tracking Them
Sports · 9 min read
- USA vs Mexico at the 2026 World Cup: How Markets Price the Hosts
Sports · 8 min read
- World Cup 2026 Favorites: How Kalshi and Polymarket Price the Field
Sports · 9 min read
- Manny Pacquiao Prediction Markets: Every Fight, Every Senate Run Priced
Sports · 8 min read
- Jeremy Lin & Asian-American NBA Prediction Markets: What's Tradable in 2026
Sports · 9 min read
- LeBron James Signed With the 76ers: How the Biggest NBA Prediction Market of 2026 Got It Wrong
Sports · 9 min read
- Shohei Ohtani & Dodgers 2026 Prediction Markets: Where the Asian-American Flow Trades
Sports · 8 min read
- Canelo vs Crawford 2026: Prediction Markets & Odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Sports · 9 min read
- Mexico in the 2026 World Cup: Prediction Markets and Odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Sports · 10 min read
- 2026 Liga MX Liguilla: Prediction Markets and Clausura Odds
Sports · 10 min read
- NHL Joins MLB on Prediction-Market Integrity Rules: What It Means for Kings, Sharks, Ducks, Dodgers, and Angels Bettors in California
Sports · 7 min read
- Newsom's California vs Kalshi: What the May 2026 State-Level Push Means for CA Traders
Politics · 8 min read
- SoFi Stadium World Cup 2026 Schedule + Live Odds
Sports · 8 min read
- Karen Bass LA Mayor Runoff Odds: 65.5% vs Nithya Raman
Politics · 7 min read
- Nithya Raman LA Mayor Runoff: 31.1% Against Karen Bass
Politics · 6 min read
- World Cup 2026 Golden Boot: Trading the Top-Scorer Contract
Sports · 6 min read
- World Cup 2026 Watch Parties in California: Where to Go Without a Ticket
Sports · 6 min read
- USC Football 2026 Odds: Trading the Trojans on Kalshi & Polymarket
Sports · 5 min read
- UCLA Football 2026 Odds: The Cheapest Pac-Side Futures on the Board
Sports · 5 min read
- Padres 2026 World Series Odds: Trading the NL West Sleeper
Sports · 5 min read
- World Cup 2026 Bracket Predictions: How to Trade the Knockout Path
Sports · 6 min read
- World Cup 2026 Round of 16 Odds: Where the Curse-Breaker Trades Live
Sports · 6 min read
- World Cup 2026 Dark Horses: The 4 Most Under-Priced Contenders
Sports · 6 min read
- USA World Cup 2026 Knockout Odds: Where the Home-Flow Premium Lives
Sports · 7 min read
- California 2026 Congressional Races on Prediction Markets: CA-22, CA-27, CA-41, CA-45, CA-47, CA-11
Politics · 10 min read
- World Cup 2026 Cinderellas: Morocco 2.35%, Switzerland 0.85%, Egypt 0.15%, Paraguay 0.05%
Sports · 8 min read
- Spain Won the 2026 World Cup: How the $3.88B Winner Market Priced the Final
Sports · 8 min read
- NBA Free Agency 2026 on Prediction Markets: Cavaliers 52%, Warriors 18.5%, Lakers 0.55%
Sports · 9 min read
- Super Bowl LXI at SoFi 2027: NFL 2026 Season Odds & California Trading Guide
Sports · 9 min read
- California's November 2026 Ballot: All 14 Propositions and What Prediction Markets Actually Price
Politics · 8 min read
- House Control 2026 Prediction Markets: Democrats 87.5% and California's 52 Seats
Politics · 8 min read