The Newsletter
What's moving in
prediction markets.
A weekly editorial brief written from California, for Californians. The events worth a position. The platforms worth opening. The local takes you won't find on national sites. Free. Two minutes to read. Unsubscribe in one click.
We're finalizing the embed form. In the meantime, subscribe directly on Beehiiv — same newsletter, same one-click signup.
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What you get
The week's tradable events
Lakers playoff games, Warriors stretches, 49ers and Rams Sundays, Fed decisions, World Cup matches, California ballot milestones — what's resolving and what to watch.
Pricing reads
When a contract looks mispriced and why. Not picks — context, written from California's no-sportsbook vantage point.
Platform updates
New listings, fee changes, and regulatory news from Kalshi, Sleeper, Chalkboard, and the rest — flagged when they matter for California users.
California-specific takes
Written for residents of a state with no legal sportsbook. Sacramento policy, CA tax notes, and local angles you won't find on national sites.
Past issues
RSSThe first issue ships soon. In the meantime, here's recent editorial coverage on the site:
- How Prediction Markets Price Celebrity Longshots: The Spencer Pratt Case Study7 min read
- Avengers: Doomsday Opening Weekend: How to Trade the Biggest Movie of December 20268 min read
- Highest-Grossing Movie of 2026: Trading the Year-Long Box-Office Race9 min read
- Oscars 2027 Best Picture: Early Prediction Market Contenders for the 99th Academy Awards9 min read
Frequently asked
How often does it ship?
Weekly, typically Sunday evening Pacific.
Is it free?
Yes. Editorial only. No paid tier yet.
Is it only for California readers?
Californians are the primary audience — that's where the local angles come from — but the platform and market coverage works for any US reader.
Will you share my email?
No. We use Beehiiv for delivery and never sell or rent the list.
Are these picks?
No. Editorial context, not advice. You make your own calls.