Sports·5 min read
NFL MVP Odds 2026: California Quarterbacks and Market Rules
Stafford won the 2025 award; Purdy and Herbert feature in the 2026 conversation. Understand award rules and market prices without relying on an unverified leaderboard.
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About the author
Catie Di Stefano
Catie Di Stefano has spent 15 years in the regulated gambling industry, starting at Betsson Group in Malta and spending nearly five years at Gaming Innovation Group (GiG) before building an independent consultancy across European and US iGaming brands, including a licensed engagement with Hard Rock Hotel & Casino Atlantic City under a New Jersey DGE vendor license. She's been interviewed by the California Business Journal on the rise of online gambling in the US, and spoke on a 2022 Next.io panel specifically about California's gaming market. She went on to build the OnlineGamblers.com brand and hold marketing director roles at Smartico.ai and Vegas Kings, and has been named to multiple iGamingExpress industry rankings. She now covers regulated prediction markets full-time.
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Sources & further reading
Every figure and legal claim on this page traces back to a primary source. These are the ones we checked, open them and verify us.
- NFL: Stafford wins 2025 MVP
Prior season's result.
- NFL: Brock Purdy statistics
Official player statistics.
- AP: NFL award voting
Award voting process.
Frequently asked questions
Who won the previous NFL MVP award?
- Matthew Stafford won the AP MVP award for the 2025 NFL season, announced at NFL Honors in February 2026.
Does an MVP market price predict the official result?
- No. It is a changing price on a particular contract. Check its bid and ask, fees and settlement terms.
What did Brock Purdy do through Week 2 of 2026?
- He completed 45 of 56 passes, or 80.4%, in two games, according to NFL statistics reviewed September 26. Recheck after Week 3.
Can someone in California trade this award contract?
- Availability depends on the specific US operator, event and current account rules. This guide does not establish universal access.
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Next steps
Top platforms Californians are using:
Polymarket
The world's largest prediction market, now live on iPhone in the US.
Sign up at Polymarket21+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading is risky. 100% loss can occur. See polymarket.com/tos for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated exchange and clearing organization.
ProphetX
Your sports prediction market. Same moments, bigger payouts. Now available nationwide.
Sign up at ProphetXKalshi
The regulatory leader.
Sign up at KalshiCertain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 21+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.
OG (by Crypto.com)
CFTC-regulated event contracts. Trade $25 Get $25 in Rewards!
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