Affiliate Disclosure
California Prediction Markets earns commissions when readers sign up for prediction market platforms through our links. This page explains exactly how that works and how we keep editorial coverage independent from those financial relationships.
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How we make money
We participate in affiliate programs with some of the CFTC-regulated prediction market platforms we review. When a reader clicks one of our affiliate links, signs up for the platform, and completes the platform's qualification criteria (typically a first deposit or first trade), we earn a commission.
The commission amounts vary by platform and can range from roughly $60 to $160 per qualifying signup. Some platforms pay flat rates; others pay tiered amounts based on user activity.
Which platforms we have affiliate relationships with
We currently have affiliate relationships with the following platforms:
- Polymarket
- ProphetX
- Kalshi
- OG
- Rebet
- Novig
We cover Robinhood, Sleeper and Chalkboard editorially, but we have no affiliate relationship with them. On their pages, the sign-up button goes to one of our partners instead and is named as that partner: Novig for Sleeper and Chalkboard, Kalshi for Robinhood. Rebet is not available in California; we mention it only for readers who travel to states where it operates.
If you see a "Get started" or "Sign up" button anywhere on this site, assume it's an affiliate link. We do not mark every link with a disclosure symbol because the entire site is written on the assumption that all outbound platform links are affiliate-tracked. This disclosure is meant to cover all of them.
What affiliate relationships do not influence
Affiliate payouts do not determine:
- Which platforms we cover (we cover all major CFTC-regulated platforms available to California residents regardless of affiliate status)
- How we rate platforms (our rankings reflect editorial assessment, not commission rates)
- Whether we write critically about a platform (we have written negative coverage of platforms we have affiliate relationships with)
- Which platforms we recommend for specific use cases
Why we use affiliate revenue
Running an editorial site has real costs: writing, research, hosting, design, legal review. Affiliate revenue is how we fund the work without putting content behind a paywall or running display ads.
The alternative funding models we considered and rejected:
- Platform-sponsored content: rejected because it compromises editorial independence
- Display advertising: rejected because it clutters the reading experience and often uses invasive tracking
- Reader subscriptions: rejected for now because it limits audience reach and creates a more transactional reader relationship
Affiliate revenue lets us keep the site free, fast, and focused on readers who are actually in the market for a prediction platform.
Questions
Email hello@californiapredictionmarkets.com with any questions about our affiliate practices.