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Sports·8 min read
SoFi Stadium World Cup 2026 Schedule + Live Odds
SoFi Stadium hosts eight World Cup 2026 matches between June 12 and July 5 — six group-stage fixtures, one Round of 32, and one quarter-final. Here's the full schedule, how each match is priced on Kalshi and Polymarket, and where the home-crowd tax distorts pricing.
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About the author
Catie Di Stefano
Catie covers California's prediction-markets beat — CFTC regulation, platform launches, and how legal event contracts fit alongside the state's still-pending sports-betting policy debate. She's used every platform we cover and writes with 15 years of professional experience in the online gambling industry.
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Frequently asked questions
How many World Cup matches are at SoFi Stadium?
- Eight. Six group-stage fixtures, one Round of 32 knockout, and one quarter-final, between June 12 and July 5, 2026. SoFi's 70,000-seat capacity (expandable to ~100,000 for the World Cup configuration) makes it the second-largest US venue after MetLife in East Rutherford.
Will the USMNT play at SoFi Stadium?
- Yes. The USMNT's confirmed home group-stage fixture is at SoFi on June 18, 2026 — the single biggest retail-volume match at the venue and one of the most-traded single contracts of the entire group stage on Kalshi and Polymarket.
Is the World Cup final at SoFi Stadium?
- No. The 2026 World Cup final is at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey, on July 19, 2026. SoFi's deepest fixture is the July 5 quarter-final. The Pasadena Rose Bowl is not a 2026 World Cup venue.
How are SoFi matches priced on prediction markets?
- Group-stage favorites against weaker qualifiers price the favorite at 65–75% YES with the draw 4–6¢ below model. USMNT home matches see a 4–6¢ home-crowd tax on Kalshi vs Polymarket — the cleanest cross-platform spread of the group stage. The July 5 quarter-final is the highest-volume single-day SoFi contract.
Where can I legally trade SoFi World Cup matches from Los Angeles?
- Kalshi and Polymarket are both CFTC-regulated and legal for LA residents. Sleeper works best for social match-by-match trading with friends. California has no legal sportsbook — these are the only legal venues for trading these matches in 2026.
Should I trade or attend the match?
- Both, if you can. SoFi resale tickets have been tracking the same favorites pattern as prediction markets — premium tier-1 matches at 6–10x face, USMNT at 8–12x face, the quarter-final at 15x+ face. If you're attending, sell out of your position before kickoff: broadcast-delay vs platform price feeds creates real live-trading risk.
When does ticket resale liquidity peak for SoFi matches?
- Resale volume tracks prediction-market volume — peaks 24–48 hours before kickoff, then re-prices sharply the morning of the match. Knockout matches at SoFi clear the highest resale prices of the tournament for LA.
Are there any neighborhood watch-party recommendations near SoFi?
- Inglewood and El Segundo have heavy watch-party density on USMNT match days. Downtown LA, Koreatown, and Boyle Heights run dedicated viewing events for Mexico and South American matches respectively. Plan transit and traffic for any 12pm or 3pm LA kickoff — Century Boulevard is congested for 4 hours pre-match.
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Top platforms Californians are using:
Polymarket
The world's largest prediction market, now live on iPhone in the US.


