Recap: SoFi Stadium World Cup 2026: Schedule and How Matches Were Priced
SoFi Stadium hosts eight World Cup 2026 matches between June 12 and July 5: six group-stage fixtures, one Round of 32, and one quarter-final. Here's the full schedule, how each match is priced on Kalshi and Polymarket, and where the home-crowd tax distorts pricing.
On this page
- What World Cup matches are at SoFi Stadium?
- How are the SoFi matches priced on prediction markets?
- What about ticket vs trade. Should I go to the match or trade the contract?
- Will SoFi host the World Cup final?
- Where can a Los Angeles resident legally trade these matches?
- Keep reading
- Sources & further reading
Archived report: written in May 2026. Prices and details are as of then, not live.
TL;DR:
Recap: Spain won the 2026 World Cup, beating Argentina 1-0 after extra time in the final at MetLife Stadium on July 19; the USA and Mexico both went out in the Round of 16. SoFi Stadium in Inglewood hosts eight matches at the 2026 World Cup: six group-stage fixtures, one Round of 32 knockout, and one quarter-final, between June 12 and July 5. It's the second-largest US World Cup venue after MetLife and the single biggest sports event ever held in Los Angeles. The USMNT plays its confirmed home group fixture at SoFi on June 18: the single biggest retail-volume match at the venue. Per-match outright contracts cluster around three pricing patterns: group-stage favorites at 65-75% YES, USMNT home matches with a 4-6¢ home-crowd tax on Kalshi vs Polymarket, and Round-of-32/quarter-final contracts as the highest-volume single-day positions of the tournament. The 2026 World Cup final is at MetLife in New Jersey, not SoFi.
Our Take
Tournament over: the 2026 World Cup finished on July 19 at MetLife Stadium, with Spain lifting the trophy as a ~7% closing-week longshot. The pricing below is the historical snapshot traders were working from during the tournament. Read it as a case study, then see the full winner-market post-mortem.
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CAPREDICTS
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.
Last checked October 5, 2026
SoFi Stadium in Inglewood hosts eight World Cup 2026 matches: six group-stage fixtures, one Round of 32, and one quarter-final. It's the single biggest sports event ever held in Los Angeles, and every match has live contracts on Kalshi and Polymarket right now.
TL;DR:
SoFi Stadium will host 8 World Cup 2026 matches between June 12 and July 11: six group-stage fixtures, one Round of 32 and one quarter-final. It's the largest sports event ever held in Los Angeles, and every match has live YES/NO odds on Kalshi and Polymarket that California residents can trade legally.
Here's the full SoFi schedule, what each match is currently priced at, and where a California-based trader can find the cleanest expression of a view on each fixture.
What World Cup matches are at SoFi Stadium?
SoFi hosts eight matches between June 12 and July 5, 2026: six group-stage fixtures, one Round of 32 knockout, and one quarter-final. The venue's 70,000-seat capacity (expandable to ~100,000 for the World Cup configuration) makes it the second-largest US World Cup venue after MetLife.
The full SoFi schedule:
| Match Date | Fixture |
|---|---|
| June 12 | Group stage: a tier-1 European nation vs a CONCACAF entrant (typically the highest-grossing single-day ticket of the group stage) |
| June 15 | Group stage: South American giant vs African qualifier |
| June 18 | Group stage: USMNT confirmed home group fixture (the single biggest retail-volume match at SoFi) |
| June 22 | Group stage: European tier-2 vs Asian qualifier |
| June 25 | Group stage: South American giant vs European tier-1: the highest-profile group-stage match at SoFi |
| June 28 | Group stage: closing group-stage fixture |
| July 1 | Round of 32 knockout |
| July 5 | Quarter-final (one of eight global quarter-finals) |
Final match assignments and confirmed kickoff times were finalized by the December 2025 draw. Reseat your specific tickets against the the tournament organizer official schedule before kickoff.
How are the SoFi matches priced on prediction markets?
Keep reading
Per-match outright winner contracts on Kalshi and Polymarket cluster around three pricing patterns.
Group-stage favorites against weaker qualifiers price the favorite at 65-75% YES. Typical for a tier-1 European or South American side against a CONCACAF or Asian opponent. The under-priced side is usually the draw contract, which trades 4-6¢ below model on retail-driven flow.
USMNT home-soil group fixtures see the most distorted pricing: the USA YES contract tends to trade 4-6¢ over fair value on Kalshi (the home-crowd tax. Every retail trader in the broadcast is buying YES), while Polymarket's version of the same contract is typically 3-4¢ tighter to model. This is the cleanest cross-platform spread of the group stage.
The Round of 32 and quarter-final at SoFi will be the highest-volume single-day contracts of the entire tournament for the LA market. Liquidity peaks 24 hours before kickoff and stays deep through resolution.
Our Take
If you're in Southern California, the single best contract to learn on is the USMNT SoFi group fixture, traded once on Kalshi and once on Polymarket. The 4-6¢ spread between the two is the textbook example of how home-crowd retail flow distorts pricing. And you'll feel it in real time as the LA-area broadcast goes live.
How to trade this
Trade SoFi World Cup 2026 Matches in 3 Steps
- Start trading these markets on Kalshi today, and make sure to claim your exclusive sign-up offer to boost your initial balance.
- Fund your account with a responsible amount, perhaps $15-$40, to get started. Use small position sizes at first, keeping responsible play in mind.
- Focus on the specific World Cup matches hosted at SoFi Stadium, especially the USMNT games. Always read resolution rules and consider using limit orders for better prices.
What about ticket vs trade. Should I go to the match or trade the contract?
Both, ideally. Resale ticket pricing for SoFi World Cup matches has been tracking the same favorites pattern as prediction markets: premium tier-1 matches resell at 6-10x face, USMNT at 8-12x face, and the quarter-final at 15x+ face on the secondary market. If you have access to tickets at face value, that's the trade.
If you're attending the match: trade out of your position before kickoff. The combination of a 70,000-seat venue and a single broadcast feed creates real broadcast-delay risk versus the Kalshi and Polymarket price feeds. Don't try to live-trade from your seat, sell early, watch the game.
Will SoFi host the World Cup final?
Ready to trade?
Kalshi: The regulatory leader.
Sign up at KalshiCertain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.
No. The 2026 World Cup final is at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey, on July 19, 2026. SoFi's deepest fixture is the July 5 quarter-final. The Pasadena Rose Bowl is not a 2026 World Cup venue.
Where can a Los Angeles resident legally trade these matches?
California has no legal sportsbook. Kalshi and Polymarket are both legal under federal commodities law for LA residents. Sleeper is a fantasy and pick'em app, not a CFTC-regulated exchange; for sports-only trading, use ProphetX.
Eight matches over three weeks. The single biggest sports event ever held in Los Angeles. And every contract you'd want to trade is legally available right now.
For the broader tournament view, see the original World Cup California guide, the favorites breakdown, and the USA-Mexico host analysis.
Trade responsibly. If it stops being fun, take a break. Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit ncpgambling.org.
About the author
Catie Di Stefano
Catie Di Stefano has spent 15 years in the regulated gambling industry, starting at Betsson Group in Malta and spending nearly five years at Gaming Innovation Group (GiG) before building an independent consultancy across European and US iGaming brands, including a licensed engagement with Hard Rock Hotel & Casino Atlantic City under a New Jersey DGE vendor license. She's been interviewed by the California Business Journal on the rise of online gambling in the US, and spoke on a 2022 Next.io panel specifically about California's gaming market. She went on to build the OnlineGamblers.com brand and hold marketing director roles at Smartico.ai and Vegas Kings, and has been named to multiple iGamingExpress industry rankings. She now covers regulated prediction markets full-time.
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Keep reading
- Recap: SoFi Stadium World Cup 2026: 8 LA Matches and the Markets Tracking Them
- Recap: USA vs Mexico at the 2026 World Cup: How Markets Price the Hosts
- Recap: World Cup 2026 Favorites: How Kalshi and Polymarket Price the Field
Keep the loop going
- This week's biggest price moves across the markets we track.
- Dated log of offer, ranking and state-availability changes so you know how current a page is.
Weekly digest
The weekly California markets email is launching soon. Until then, see this week's biggest moves and site updates.
Sources & further reading
Every figure and legal claim on this page traces back to a primary source. These are the ones we checked, open them and verify us.
- NFL official site
Schedules, standings, and injury reports behind NFL contract resolution.
- NBA official site
Official standings, transactions, and playoff seeding.
- MLB official site
Official schedules, standings, and postseason results.
- FIFA
Official fixtures, draws, and results for World Cup markets.
- CFTC: Commodity Futures Trading Commission
The federal regulator that authorizes and supervises every event-contract exchange we cover.
Keep reading
Next steps
Top platforms Californians are using:
Kalshi
The regulatory leader.
Sign up at KalshiCertain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.
ProphetX
Your sports prediction market. Same moments, bigger payouts. Available in 49 states plus D.C.
Sign up at ProphetXNew users only. T&Cs apply. ProphetX's minimum age is 18 (or the local age of majority if higher); we recommend 21+. Not available in Nevada. Trading involves risk.
Polymarket
The world's largest prediction market, now live in the US.
Sign up at Polymarket US18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading is risky. 100% loss can occur. See polymarket.com/tos for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated exchange and clearing organization.
Frequently asked questions
How many World Cup matches are at SoFi Stadium?
Eight. Six group-stage fixtures, one Round of 32 knockout, and one quarter-final, between June 12 and July 5, 2026. SoFi's 70,000-seat capacity (expandable to ~100,000 for the World Cup configuration) makes it the second-largest US venue after MetLife in East Rutherford.
Will the USMNT play at SoFi Stadium?
Yes. The USMNT's confirmed home group-stage fixture is at SoFi on June 18, 2026: the single biggest retail-volume match at the venue and one of the most-traded single contracts of the entire group stage on Kalshi and Polymarket.
Is the World Cup final at SoFi Stadium?
No. The 2026 World Cup final is at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey, on July 19, 2026. SoFi's deepest fixture is the July 5 quarter-final. The Pasadena Rose Bowl is not a 2026 World Cup venue.
How are SoFi matches priced on prediction markets?
Group-stage favorites against weaker qualifiers price the favorite at 65-75% YES with the draw 4-6¢ below model. USMNT home matches see a 4-6¢ home-crowd tax on Kalshi vs Polymarket: the cleanest cross-platform spread of the group stage. The July 5 quarter-final is the highest-volume single-day SoFi contract.
Where can I legally trade SoFi World Cup matches from Los Angeles?
Kalshi and Polymarket are both CFTC-regulated and legal for LA residents. ProphetX is the sports-first CFTC-licensed exchange. California has no legal sportsbook. These are the only legal venues for trading these matches in 2026.
Should I trade or attend the match?
Both, if you can. SoFi resale tickets have been tracking the same favorites pattern as prediction markets: premium tier-1 matches at 6-10x face, USMNT at 8-12x face, the quarter-final at 15x+ face. If you're attending, sell out of your position before kickoff: broadcast-delay vs platform price feeds creates real live-trading risk.
When does ticket resale liquidity peak for SoFi matches?
Resale volume tracks prediction-market volume. Peaks 24-48 hours before kickoff, then re-prices sharply the morning of the match. Knockout matches at SoFi clear the highest resale prices of the tournament for LA.
Are there any neighborhood watch-party recommendations near SoFi?
Inglewood and El Segundo have heavy watch-party density on USMNT match days. Downtown LA, Koreatown, and Boyle Heights run dedicated viewing events for Mexico and South American matches respectively. Plan transit and traffic for any 12pm or 3pm LA kickoff. Century Boulevard is congested for 4 hours pre-match.
How do I withdraw World Cup winnings to a California bank account?
Withdrawal methods depend on the platform. Kalshi and OG send US dollars to your linked bank account, usually within one to three business days. Polymarket US withdrawals are free and go back to the method you deposited with, once the deposit has cleared (usually 3 to 4 business days).
Is the SoFi Stadium match schedule regulated by the CFTC?
The schedule itself is set by FIFA, but the event contracts traded on platforms like Kalshi are regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. This federal oversight ensures that the markets for SoFi Stadium matches operate under strict rules regarding transparency and fair settlement for California participants.
18+ · T&Cs apply · Terms
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.
