Trade the 2026 World Cup.
Kalshi and Polymarket list tournament winner, USA & Mexico advance, SoFi Stadium match outcomes, and golden boot contracts for the June 11, July 19, 2026 tournament. Both are CFTC-regulated and available to Californians 18+ (we recommend 21+).
On this page

June 11: July 19, 2026 · USA · Canada · Mexico
Live odds
World Cup 2026: live winner odds
The six most-traded national-team contracts on Polymarket, refreshed daily. Click through to take a position on the platform.
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- 01F
France
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- 02S
Spain
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- 03E
England
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- 04A
Argentina
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- 05B
Brazil
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- 06U
USA
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Polymarket · Sports
Will France win the 2026 World Cup?
0¢
Live odds loading, refreshes daily at 8am PT.
Polymarket · Sports
Will Spain win the 2026 World Cup?
0¢
Live odds loading, refreshes daily at 8am PT.
Polymarket · Sports
Will England win the 2026 World Cup?
0¢
Live odds loading, refreshes daily at 8am PT.
Polymarket · Sports
Will Argentina win the 2026 World Cup?
0¢
Live odds loading, refreshes daily at 8am PT.
Polymarket · Sports
Will Brazil win the 2026 World Cup?
0¢
Live odds loading, refreshes daily at 8am PT.
Polymarket · Sports
Will the USA win the 2026 World Cup?
0¢
Live odds loading, refreshes daily at 8am PT.
Where to trade
Polymarket 4.8 ★
CFTC-regulated
The world's largest prediction market, now live in the US.
Visit Polymarket →World Cup 2026 guides
- Recap: SoFi Stadium World Cup 2026: Schedule and How Matches Were Priced
- Recap: How to Bet on the World Cup in California Legally in 2026
- Recap: World Cup 2026: Futures vs Match Markets: Which Pays More
- Recap: SoFi Stadium World Cup 2026: 8 LA Matches and the Markets Tracking Them
- Recap: USA vs Mexico at the 2026 World Cup: How Markets Price the Hosts
- Recap: World Cup 2026 Favorites: How Kalshi and Polymarket Price the Field
- Recap: World Cup 2026 Prediction Markets: A California Fan's Guide
Sources & further reading
Every figure and legal claim on this page traces back to a primary source. These are the ones we checked, open them and verify us.
- FIFA World Cup 2026
Official fixtures, host cities, and results.
- SoFi Stadium
Official venue information for the Los Angeles matches.
- CFTC: Commodity Futures Trading Commission
The federal regulator that authorizes and supervises every event-contract exchange we cover.
- National Council on Problem Gambling
Free, confidential help and self-assessment tools (1-800-522-4700).
Frequently asked questions
Where can I trade 2026 World Cup prediction markets?
Kalshi and Polymarket both list 2026 World Cup contracts: tournament winner, group-stage outcomes, individual match results, golden boot, and host-nation performance. Both platforms are CFTC-regulated and available to eligible California residents (dispute pending).
Who is favored to win the 2026 World Cup?
As of the latest prediction-market pricing, Spain, Argentina, France, England, and Brazil are the consistent top-five favorites. Live odds shift with squad announcements and form. See our favorites guide for current implied probabilities.
Are USA-Mexico World Cup matches available on prediction markets?
Yes. Kalshi and Polymarket list the USA and Mexico to-win-group, advance-from-group, and match-by-match contracts. We track the most-traded USA and Mexico markets in our dedicated guide.
What World Cup matches are at SoFi Stadium in Los Angeles?
SoFi Stadium in Inglewood hosts eight 2026 World Cup matches including group-stage games and a Round of 32 fixture. Our LA-specific guide covers all SoFi matches and the prediction markets attached to each.
Is it legal to trade World Cup contracts in California?
Available — dispute pending (as of October 13, 2026). CFTC-regulated event-contract platforms can list World Cup outcomes as binary financial derivatives, which are available to eligible California residents (dispute pending) under federal commodities law, unlike state-licensed sportsbooks, which remain banned in California.
When does the 2026 World Cup start?
The 2026 World Cup runs June 11 to July 19, 2026, hosted across the United States, Canada, and Mexico. The opening match is in Mexico City; the final is at MetLife Stadium in New Jersey.
18+ · T&Cs apply · Terms
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.