California governor 2026, ballot measures, presidential markets, and political event contracts available to California traders.
Guides to the races and ballot measures Californians follow: the governor's race, the 14 statewide propositions on the 3 November 2026 ballot, House seats and Los Angeles elections. Each guide explains what is being decided, the key dates and what markets usually list. We don't quote live prices.
Gavin Newsom is termed out. The June 2 primary narrows a crowded field to two; the November general decides who runs one of the world's largest economies. Here's how California traders can take a position on the race.
California votes on Tuesday, 3 November 2026. The governor's race is Democrat Xavier Becerra against Republican Steve Hilton. There are 14 statewide propositions, and Los Angeles has a mayor runoff between Karen Bass and Nithya Raman. Polls close at 8 p.m. PT. California counts mail ballots for days, so close races can take a week or more to call. We add each result here as it's called, with the source.
Xavier Becerra faces Steve Hilton on 3 November. What the governor race markets cover, the key dates, and which apps Californians can use.
Polymarket's House control contract has cleared $9.1M with Democrats at 87.5% and Republicans at 13.5%. California decides 52 of the 435 seats: more than any other state. Here's how to read and trade it legally from California.
All 14 statewide propositions on the 3 November 2026 ballot, the key voting dates and how prediction markets cover California elections.
Six California House seats will probably decide House control in 2026. And you can trade every one of them on Kalshi and Polymarket from California. Current odds, what moves them, and where to actually place the trade.
Raman advanced from the June first round and led Karen Bass 39% to 28% in a September Berkeley IGS/LA Times poll ahead of the November 3 runoff. Here's how the market has repriced her since June.
Bass faces Nithya Raman in the November 3 runoff. A September Berkeley IGS/LA Times poll had Raman ahead 39% to 28%. Here's how the market has priced the race since June.
On May 18, 2026 a coalition led by tribal gaming groups and backed by Governor Newsom's office asked California's Attorney General to investigate Kalshi and Polymarket. Here's why the legal mechanics underneath the headlines are weak, and why California traders should keep operating normally.
Spencer Pratt is the most-traded longshot of the 2026 California cycle, sitting at 12-28% on Kalshi and Polymarket for the June 2 LA Mayor election. The number says less about his odds than about how shallow markets price celebrity flow.
The DOJ and CFTC have sued New York, Connecticut, Arizona, and Illinois for trying to regulate Kalshi and Polymarket. California's absence from that list is the story. And it's why CA traders enjoy uniquely stable access right now.
Over $5.9M wagered across Kalshi, Polymarket, and Betfair on Senate control. Here's which seats actually matter and how to trade them from California.
The 2028 race is the deepest political contract on prediction markets. Kalshi, Polymarket, and PredictIt collectively trade nine figures. Here's how to read it from California.
