Category · Guide
Guide prediction markets.
Step-by-step guides for new and experienced California prediction-market traders.
Lakers 2026 NBA Playoffs: How to Trade the Run on Prediction Markets
The Lakers are the West's 4-seed, opening the 2026 NBA playoffs against the Houston Rockets on April 18. California has no legal online sportsbook — but prediction markets are federally regulated and available to every California resident. Here's how to trade it.
Updated Jul 15, 2026
World Cup 2026 Prediction Markets: A California Fan's Guide
The 2026 World Cup runs June 11 to July 19, with matches at SoFi Stadium in LA. California has no legal online sportsbook — but prediction markets are federally regulated and available to every California resident. Here's how to trade it.
Updated Jul 17, 2026
Prediction Market Taxes in California: 2026 Guide
Yes, your Kalshi and Polymarket profits are taxable — federally and in California. Here's how 1099s, Section 1256, and USDC conversions actually work for CA residents.
Updated Jul 17, 2026
Kalshi vs Polymarket Fees: Full 2026 Cost Breakdown
Polymarket has no per-trade fees. Kalshi charges roughly $0.07 per round trip. But the all-in cost picture is different — here's the side-by-side that actually matters.
Updated Jul 15, 2026
Can I Use Polymarket in California? How to Deposit (2026)
Yes — you can use Polymarket in California. Polymarket runs on USDC. Here's the step-by-step for funding your first account from California, including what to do if you've never touched crypto.
Updated Jul 16, 2026
How to Withdraw from Kalshi: 2026 Step-by-Step Guide
ACH withdrawals on Kalshi are free and settle in 1–3 business days. Here's the full process, including bank verification, daily limits, and tax forms.
Updated Jul 17, 2026
Arbitrage Between Kalshi and Polymarket: A Realistic Guide
The same contract trades on both platforms. Sometimes the prices diverge. Here's how prediction market arbitrage actually works — and why it's harder than it looks.
Updated Jul 15, 2026
How to Bet on the World Cup in California Legally in 2026
California has no legal online sportsbook. CFTC-regulated prediction markets are the only legal path for California residents to take a position on the 2026 World Cup. Here's the no-fluff guide — what's legal, which platform to pick first, and how to place your first contract.
Updated Jul 16, 2026
World Cup 2026: Futures vs Match Markets — Which Pays More
Kalshi and Polymarket let you trade the 2026 World Cup two ways: outright tournament futures or match-by-match contracts. Both pay $1, but they reward different views — and one of them is consistently better-priced for a California trader without an information edge.
Updated Jul 15, 2026