Category · Climate
Climate prediction markets.
California rainfall, wildfire season, drought, and weather contracts on Kalshi.
Climate · 8 min read
California Wildfire Season 2026: Climate Markets for CA Residents
Wildfire season runs roughly May through October. Kalshi and Polymarket both list climate event contracts — including some that touch California fire activity. Here's the honest read on what's tradable and what isn't.
Updated Jul 15, 2026
Climate · 8 min read
California Rainfall Winter 2026-27: Climate Markets for the Wet Season
California's water year runs October through September. The first major storms typically arrive in November. Here's how prediction markets cover LA and SF monthly rainfall — and what to actually do with that.
Updated Jul 17, 2026