🎁 Polymarket iPhone $50 交易奖金 · Kalshi $10 — 代码 CAPREDICTS
预测市场通过受 CFTC 监管的事件合约在 California 合法。Kalshi、Polymarket、Sleeper、Chalkboard 和 Novig 让加州居民可以在体育、政治、美联储和奥斯卡等事件上用真金白银表达观点——无需加州尚未拥有的体育博彩。
在 California，预测市场通过受 CFTC 监管的平台合法运作。可在选举、体育、美联储和奥斯卡等事件上进行真金白银的合约交易——无需体育博彩公司。
仅限 21+ · 受联邦监管 · 由联盟营销支持——我们只推荐自己会使用的平台
今日要闻
Sports/9 min read
Polymarket's "LeBron James Next Team" is the highest-volume NBA prediction market of 2026. For California fans, the pricing is brutal: Lakers under 1%, Warriors 21%, Cavaliers 43%. Here's how to trade it legally from California, where the sharpest edges are, and what could move the price this week.
Sports/8 min read
Four surprise 2026 World Cup teams — Morocco, Paraguay, Egypt, Switzerland — have combined for $19M+ in Polymarket volume in a week. Here's how California residents can trade the Cinderella bracket legally, where the sharpest edges are, and what could move prices this weekend.
Sports/8 min read
Polymarket's World Cup Winner contract has cleared $3.88B in tournament volume — the biggest sports market in history. France leads at 35.65%, Argentina at 16.15%. Here's how California residents can trade the final winner legally, where the sharpest edges are, and what could move prices this week.
Sports/9 min read
The 2026 NBA offseason is the deepest free-agency market prediction markets have ever seen — over $10.8M in a week on Polymarket. Cleveland is the base case, Golden State the volatility trade, LA the ghost. Here's how California fans can trade the whole offseason legally.
Sports/9 min read
Polymarket's Super Bowl LXI contract has cleared $37.5M+ in cycle volume. Chargers 3.95%, Bengals 4.55%, Texans 3.7%. The championship comes to SoFi Stadium in February 2027 — the second Super Bowl at SoFi in five years. Here's how California residents can trade the whole 2026 season legally.
快速解答
合法。Kalshi、Polymarket 等受 CFTC 监管的事件合约交易所根据美国联邦商品法在全部 50 个州（包括 California）均属合法——并非依据州级体育博彩法律。 California legality & taxes →
Kalshi、Polymarket（iPhone）、Sleeper、Chalkboard、Novig 以及 OG by Crypto.com 都为 California 居民提供服务。Kalshi 的美元入金最简便；Polymarket 流动性最深；OG 提供最大的开户奖金。 Kalshi, Polymarket, compare them →
事件合约是受 CFTC 监管的衍生品：事件发生支付 $1，未发生支付 $0。0¢ 到 $1 之间的价格就是市场对结果的实时概率估计——这正是 Kalshi 与 Polymarket 背后的同一框架。 How event contracts work →
好莱坞 · 实时
奥斯卡提名、科切拉头牌、世界杯中场秀以及洛杉矶关注的名人市场的实时赔率 —— 直接来自 Polymarket。
更新于 loading PT
Polymarket · Entertainment
The Odyssey leads the field at 0% — Nolan's California-shot epic is the favorite to top the nominations sheet at the 99th Academy Awards.
Polymarket · Entertainment
Wild Horse Nine trades at 0% — early money likes its odds of landing a Best Picture slot at the 99th Academy Awards.
Polymarket · Entertainment
Dua Lipa sits at 0% — the Indio desert's marquee slot is still wide open six months out.
Polymarket · Entertainment
Shakira prices at 0% — the SoFi-hosted final's halftime card is shaping up around a Latin-pop lead.
Polymarket · Entertainment
Bad Bunny leads at 0% — the year-end Spotify Wrapped crown is his to lose.
Polymarket · Entertainment
Spider-Man: Brand New Day leads at 0% — Sony's December release is the favorite to top the 2026 box office.
Polymarket · Entertainment
Avengers: Doomsday trades at 0% — Marvel's May tentpole is the runaway favorite for the year's biggest opening.
Polymarket · Entertainment
Yes prices at 0% — the last re-recording in the Taylor's Version series is still on traders' radar for a 2026 drop.
Polymarket · Entertainment
Yes trades at 0% — Hollywood's most-watched couple has Polymarket pricing an engagement before year-end.
赞助 — 编辑第 2 推荐
CFTC 监管的事件合约。体育、加密货币和宏观市场 — 在加利福尼亚及其他 41 个州合法。
注册时使用代码 CAPREDICTS，最高可领取 $100 奖金。
新美国交易者,需满 21 岁。资格因州而异。适用条款和条件。
本页面的部分链接为联盟链接 —— 如您注册，我们可能会获得佣金，对您无任何额外费用。 我们如何盈利.
联盟营销披露
政治、体育、文化、天气 —— 全部在一个受 CFTC 监管的应用中。
使用优惠码 CAPREDICTS 即可获得 $10 新用户奖励。
适用于美国 50 个州的居民，年满 21 岁。
本页面的部分链接为联盟链接 —— 如您注册，我们可能会获得佣金，对您无任何额外费用。 我们如何盈利.
iPhone 专享 · 受 CFTC 监管
全球最大的预测市场 —— 现已在美国 iPhone 上线。
在 Polymarket iPhone 应用中使用优惠码 CAPREDICTS，获得 $50 交易奖金。
仅限 iPhone 应用 · 美国 50 个州 · 21+
本页面的部分链接为联盟链接 —— 如您注册，我们可能会获得佣金，对您无任何额外费用。 我们如何盈利.
加利福尼亚州没有合法的在线体育博彩，也没有明确的上线时间表。预测市场是受CFTC监管的事件合约，这是一个联邦框架，适用于所有州，并使它们对加利福尼亚州居民来说目前是合法的。
一份价值 62 美分的合约意味着市场认为有 62% 的可能性。没有美式赔率，没有隐藏利润——比加利福尼亚人在内华达州界线那边看到的任何东西都更清晰。
在洛杉矶交易奥斯卡。湖人队和勇士队的季后赛征程。纽森的下一步行动。旧金山湾区交易员关注的美联储决策。选举之夜、艾美奖，以及加州经济的未来走向。
想了解加州的选择如何与头部三家之外的平台相比?查看 全美所有 CFTC 场所的排名,或者 — 如果你更靠近海岸 — 我们的 威尼斯与洛杉矶太平洋海岸指南 涵盖了相同的法律格局,并更聚焦于本地。
针对加州居民：监管地位、流动性、来自加州银行的美元资金，以及每个平台在没有合法体育博彩的州内是否适用。每月更新。
预测市场领域的最大品牌，现已进入 US。
🎁 Deposit $20 Get a $50 Trading Bonus!CodeCAPREDICTS
为加密货币原生交易者打造。深厚的合规流动性。
🎁 Get up to $100 in bonusesCodeCAPREDICTS
合规监管的领导者
🎁 New Traders Get $10!CodeCAPREDICTS
社交优先。与你的团队一起交易。
专业交易者的交易所。不限制赢家。
🎁 Spend $5 Get $50 in Novig CoinsCodeCAPREDICTS
体育优先。社交原生。专为群聊打造。
球员道具市场，化繁为简。
CFTC-regulated event contracts inside the Robinhood app — powered by Kalshi.
本周 · California
California 人关心的市场实时赔率 — Lakers、Warriors、Dodgers、州长竞选、Fed 以及 Eurovision — 直接来自 Kalshi 和 Polymarket。
更新于 loading PT
Polymarket · Sports
Mbappé leads the Golden Boot race at 0% as the group stage plays out — with SoFi hosting eight matches, LA fans get a front-row seat to the scoring chase.
Polymarket · Sports
France leads the field at 0% with the knockout rounds underway — SoFi Stadium hosts eight matches including a semifinal, so LA is the favorites' likely waypoint.
Polymarket · Sports
USA leads the host trio at 0% — Polymarket is pricing slim odds that the trophy stays in CONCACAF, even with home crowds at SoFi, Estadio Azteca and BMO Field.
Polymarket · Sports
Morocco leads the Cinderella board at 0% — the Atlas Lions are the surging longshot California traders are stacking against the European favorites.
Polymarket · Sports
LA's three-peat bid leads the board at 0% — the Dodgers are the World Series favorite with the Yankees the closest chaser.
Polymarket · Politics
California's governor leads the 2028 Democratic primary field at 0% — still the most-traded politician on Polymarket this week.
免费时事通讯
每个星期日。California 人在交易什么，什么定价不当，什么值得关注。无垃圾邮件。
免费。随时退订。
从这里开始
Polymarket's "LeBron James Next Team" is the highest-volume NBA prediction market of 2026. For California fans, the pricing is brutal: Lakers under 1%, Warriors 21%, Cavaliers 43%. Here's how to trade it legally from California, where the sharpest edges are, and what could move the price this week.
更新于 2026年7月3日
Four surprise 2026 World Cup teams — Morocco, Paraguay, Egypt, Switzerland — have combined for $19M+ in Polymarket volume in a week. Here's how California residents can trade the Cinderella bracket legally, where the sharpest edges are, and what could move prices this weekend.
更新于 2026年7月3日
Polymarket's World Cup Winner contract has cleared $3.88B in tournament volume — the biggest sports market in history. France leads at 35.65%, Argentina at 16.15%. Here's how California residents can trade the final winner legally, where the sharpest edges are, and what could move prices this week.
更新于 2026年7月4日
The 2026 NBA offseason is the deepest free-agency market prediction markets have ever seen — over $10.8M in a week on Polymarket. Cleveland is the base case, Golden State the volatility trade, LA the ghost. Here's how California fans can trade the whole offseason legally.
更新于 2026年7月2日选择您的平台
不确定从何入手？为选择第一个或第二个平台的加州交易者比较主要预测市场。
Open an account
All three are legal in California today. Use code CAPREDICTS where shown to claim the welcome bonus.
The world's largest prediction market, now live on iPhone in the US.
CFTC-regulated event contracts. Get up to $100 in bonuses.
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