Anthropic vs OpenAI IPO odds, AI-regulation contracts and Newsom's AI bills: how Kalshi and Polymarket price California's tech economy. Legal, 21+ only.
The 49ers are 2-0 and Brock Purdy is completing 80% of his passes. How to trade 49ers game, NFC West, playoff and Super Bowl LXI odds on Kalshi and Polymarket.
The season tips off October 20 and California debuts October 21 with Warriors at Lakers. Here are the live Polymarket prices on all four California teams, the post-LeBron Lakers, the Kawhi trade market, and how to trade it legally from California.
Polymarket's House control contract has cleared $9.1M with Democrats at 87.5% and Republicans at 13.5%. California decides 52 of the 435 seats: more than any other state. Here's how to read and trade it legally from California.
Fourteen measures qualified for California's November 3, 2026 ballot: an $11.25B housing bond, a rainy-day amendment, and a permanent high-income tax. Here's what's on the ballot, what you can trade from California, and where the market gaps are.
The season opens at SoFi Stadium on September 10 with 49ers at Rams. Here are the live Polymarket prices on every California team's first two games, the division and Super Bowl LXI contracts, and the player markets Californians are trading.
MrBeast subscriber milestones, TIME Person of the Year, Jake Paul running for office, Bad Bunny as 2026's most-searched person. Eight creator contracts are live on Polymarket. And Californians 21+ can legally trade every one of them.
Polymarket's Super Bowl LXI contract has cleared $37.5M+ in cycle volume. Chargers 3.95%, Bengals 4.55%, Texans 3.7%. The championship comes to SoFi Stadium in February 2027: the second Super Bowl at SoFi in five years. Here's how California residents can trade the whole 2026 season legally.
The 2026 NBA offseason is the deepest free-agency market prediction markets have ever seen, over $10.8M in a week on Polymarket. Cleveland is the base case, Golden State the volatility trade, LA the ghost. Here's how California fans can trade the whole offseason legally.
Spain won the 2026 World Cup as a ~7% longshot as France (35.65%) and Argentina (16.15%) settled at zero. How Polymarket's $3.88B market priced it.
Four surprise 2026 World Cup teams, Morocco, Paraguay, Egypt, Switzerland, have combined for $19M+ in Polymarket volume in a week. Here's how California residents can trade the Cinderella bracket legally, where the sharpest edges are, and what could move prices this weekend.
The highest-volume NBA prediction market of 2026 has resolved, to the Philadelphia 76ers. Cleveland at 43%, Golden State at 21% and the Lakers under 1% all settled at zero. Here is what actually happened and the three lessons California traders should keep.