Lakers, Dodgers, NBA Finals, Stanley Cup, NFL win totals, World Cup, every California sports market on CFTC-regulated platforms.
The season opens at SoFi Stadium on September 10 with 49ers at Rams. Here are the live Polymarket prices on every California team's first two games, the division and Super Bowl LXI contracts, and the player markets Californians are trading.
Polymarket's Super Bowl LXI contract has cleared $37.5M+ in cycle volume. Chargers 3.95%, Bengals 4.55%, Texans 3.7%. The championship comes to SoFi Stadium in February 2027: the second Super Bowl at SoFi in five years. Here's how California residents can trade the whole 2026 season legally.
The 2026 NBA offseason is the deepest free-agency market prediction markets have ever seen, over $10.8M in a week on Polymarket. Cleveland is the base case, Golden State the volatility trade, LA the ghost. Here's how California fans can trade the whole offseason legally.
Spain won the 2026 World Cup as a ~7% longshot as France (35.65%) and Argentina (16.15%) settled at zero. How Polymarket's $3.88B market priced it.
Four surprise 2026 World Cup teams, Morocco, Paraguay, Egypt, Switzerland, have combined for $19M+ in Polymarket volume in a week. Here's how California residents can trade the Cinderella bracket legally, where the sharpest edges are, and what could move prices this weekend.
The highest-volume NBA prediction market of 2026 has resolved, to the Philadelphia 76ers. Cleveland at 43%, Golden State at 21% and the Lakers under 1% all settled at zero. Here is what actually happened and the three lessons California traders should keep.
USMNT is the highest-volume retail contract on US prediction markets for the entire World Cup. Home flow keeps the US 3-5 points above sharp model consensus across every round. Here's the knockout playbook.
Top-five contenders are priced tight. The real edge lives in the 2-7% YES band where narrative drag, easy bracket paths, and generational keepers create persistent mispricings. Four dark horses worth a position.
The round of 16 is the first knockout round where every match is between two teams that survived. Mexico, USA, Japan, historic-ceiling nations, trade 4-7 points below model fair value. Here's the round-of-16 playbook.
The 2026 World Cup bracket adds a round of 32: six knockout rounds instead of four. Prediction markets reprice the bracket the moment it locks on June 27. Here's where the structural edge lives.
The Padres' 2026 season is over: they swept the Cubs, then lost the NL Division Series to the Brewers. How their World Series and NL West contracts traded before that.
UCLA opens 2026 below 1¢ (under a 1% chance) for the national championship and 5.5-6.5 wins on the over/under: a structurally low line for a Power 4 program with a returning QB. Thin books, but the over is the cleanest trade on the Bruin side.
